Thesis Capital

News & Insights

Notes From The Field

Firm announcements, essays on the lower middle market, and perspectives on the businesses that make the country run.

Insights

Essays & Perspectives

Insights

The Role of a CEO - Part I - Fundamental(s)

What is a CEO actually being paid to do? Three economists who explained why companies exist offer a clearer answer than most modern leadership writing.

Insights

The Role of a CEO - Part II - Limit Theory

A CEO must operate in the limit. Strategy, cost, talent, capital, and character all show non-linear returns at the extreme — the middle is where firms die.

Insights

The Role of a CEO - Part III - Being The Best CEO

What does it take to be the best CEO? The answer runs through Buffett, Musk, the Greek know thyself, and Aristotle — older and simpler than the literature.

Insights

Cell Division as a Model for Role Design & Cost Reduction in a Growing Organization

Biology solved scaling early: replicate what works, divide when needed, let specialization emerge. Organizations that borrow the model grow faster and cheaper.

Insights

A Unified Mental Model for Daily CEO Action

A framework for how a CEO should spend their time: identify the binding constraint, remove it, identify the next. Everything else is tooling or distraction.

Investing

What Drives Valuation Multiples in the LMM Beyond EBITDA

EBITDA is the starting line, not the finish. A look at the qualitative factors that actually move multiples in the lower middle market.

Operations

How to Manage M&A Due Diligence Without Disrupting Daily Operations

Due diligence can consume a company if you let it. A practical guide to managing requests, protecting your team, and staying focused while a deal moves forward.

Sellers

The Seller-First Deal Process

Most deal processes are designed around the buyer's calendar. A better way starts with a simple question: what does the seller actually need?

Sellers

A Practical Guide to Preserving Growth and Legacy During a Business Sale

Founders care deeply what happens to their business after a sale. How to structure a process that protects both the legacy you've built and ongoing growth.

Investing

Why Investors Choose Lower Middle Market Companies

The lower middle market combines valuation, operational upside, and ownership structure that institutional investors struggle to replicate at larger scale.

Operations

What Are Business Inflection Points and How to Manage Them

Every business hits moments where growth demands a different approach. Recognizing and navigating inflection points is a core leadership skill.

Investing

Rethinking Private Equity: The Case for Forever Assets

The traditional PE model — acquire, improve, exit — may be wrong for the lower middle market. A case for patient capital and long-term ownership.

Operations

The Uncle Gordon Rule: A Mental Model for Growth and Operational Spend

A simple heuristic for when to invest in growth and when to hold back — named after a fictional but familiar figure every business owner has met.

Firm

The Corporate Philosophy at Thesis Capital

What we believe about business, ownership, and the responsibility that comes with holding a company for the long term.

Operations

What Growth Demands: An Essay to a Management Team in Turmoil

Growth is not just an opportunity — it is a demand. It asks things of organizations and people that stability does not. A reflection on what it takes.

Investing

The Overlooked Promise of Capitalism and the American Dream

A reflection on what capitalism was supposed to offer and why the lower middle market may be one of the last places where that promise is still being kept.

Investing

Inflation, It's Not Just for Balloons

A plain-language look at what inflation actually is, why it matters differently for owners and investors, and how to think about it in portfolio and operations.

Investing

Perfect Opportunity Cost and the Ideal Conditions to Buy or Sell an Asset

Opportunity cost is one of the most important and misunderstood concepts in investing. How to think about it properly and use it to time buy and sell decisions.

Investing

How to Value a Business vs The S&P 500

A framework for comparing a private business investment against a passive index position — and the factors that should tilt the decision one way or the other.

Investing

Comparing Businesses Against Each Other

How to build a consistent framework for comparing businesses with different financial profiles, growth rates, and risk characteristics.

Investing

Risk & Probability in Investment Decision Making

Most investors think about risk incorrectly. A framework for using probability-weighted thinking to make better investment decisions.

Operations

The Correct Way To Lay People Off

Layoffs are one of the hardest decisions a leader makes. How to handle them with dignity, clarity, and long-term organizational health in mind.

Operations

Characteristics of The Best Managers

What distinguishes great managers from good ones — drawn from observation across dozens of portfolio companies and management teams.

Investing

How To Be A Great Investor

A synthesis of what distinguishes great investors from good ones — drawn from decades of studying the best practitioners in the field.

Investing

Why EBITDA is a Flawed Measure of Earnings

EBITDA is the default language of private equity. It is also a deeply imperfect measure of economic earnings. Here is why — and what to use instead.

Operations

The Best Incentive Plan for Managers

How to design a management incentive plan that actually aligns behavior with long-term value creation — without creating perverse incentives.

Investing

Reflections on the Nature and Characteristics of Business Monopoly

What monopoly actually means in a business context, why it matters for investors, and how to identify durable competitive positions.

Investing

Who is Walter J. Schloss?

A profile of one of the most successful — and least celebrated — investors in history, and the lessons his career offers for practitioners today.

Investing

Economic Franchises and the Key Characteristics of a Great Business

What Warren Buffett means by an 'economic franchise' — and how to identify businesses with the characteristics that produce durable, compounding returns.

Investing

What is Cost of Capital — Properly Considered

Cost of capital is one of the most important and most misunderstood concepts in finance. A clear-headed treatment of what it means and how to use it.

Operations

What Business Owners Should Do With Their Business's Earnings

What to do with the cash a business generates — the capital allocation decision is one of the most important and least discussed in the lower middle market.

Investing

Paradox of Investment Skill

As investors become more skilled, the edge from skill alone diminishes. A look at the paradox of skill in investing and what it means for where to compete.

Investing

Illiquidity Premiums and Investor Psychology

Illiquidity is not just a risk — it is a source of return for investors who can tolerate it. How to think about illiquidity premiums and when to capture them.

Operations

How Management Should Think About Investment Risk

Risk looks different from inside a business than it does from outside. A framework for how operators and managers should evaluate and manage investment risk.

Operations

Vision Statements and Visionary Management

Most vision statements are forgettable. What separates the ones that actually shape behavior from the ones that sit on a wall and collect dust.

Operations

Why Missions Matter

A clear mission is not a marketing exercise. It is an operational tool that shapes hiring, prioritization, and culture in ways that compound over time.

Operations

Defining Your Company's Values

Values are only useful if they are specific, observable, and lived. A practical guide to defining values that actually shape how a company operates.

Operations

Frameworks For Marketing Your Business Are More Important Than Day One Process

Build a framework first, then market your business. Why the structure of your marketing approach matters more than any individual tactic.

Investing

Everything You Need to Know About Dollar-Cost Averaging

Why and how long to dollar-cost average your investable funds — a complete guide to one of the most reliable and misunderstood investment strategies.

Investing

How To Invest In A Low-Interest Rate Environment

In markets and in companies, low interest rates change the math. How to adjust your investment approach when the cost of capital is at historical lows.

Investing

Reflections on the Nature and Characteristics of Superior Businesses

What makes a business superior — not in the moment, but durably, over time. A synthesis of the characteristics that predict long-term business quality.

Investing

Optimizing Cash Reserves and Overlooked Risks in Cash Reserving

Most businesses and investors hold too much or too little cash. The overlooked risks of both extremes and how to find the right balance.

Investing

The Definitive List of Book Recommendations from Warren Buffett

A curated compilation of every book Warren Buffett has recommended across his letters, interviews, and public appearances — with notes on why each matters.

Investing

When to Buy Bonds Over Stocks

The decision between bonds and equities is not just a risk tolerance question. A framework for thinking about when fixed income makes more sense than equity.

Investing

How to Properly Evaluate Business Earnings

Reported earnings are a starting point, not a conclusion. How to work through adjustments, one-time items, and accounting choices to find economic earnings.

Investing

Reflection on the Sources of American Wealth

Where American wealth actually comes from — a historical and analytical look at the industries, institutions, and behaviors that drive prosperity.

Investing

Understanding Return on Invested Capital

Return on invested capital is the single most important metric for business quality. A complete guide to calculating, interpreting, and using ROIC.